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eMail: jon@modene.com

Perrysburg Blog

Perrysburg Single Family Sales Report: July 2010

August 26th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

Let’s just compare this year vs. 2009.

Simple.

Elegant.

Same seasonality.  Only 12 months of time to account for.  You can ignore the median price due to sample size.

28% fewer homes pending.

38% fewer homes sold.

50% drop from May/June numbers.

Raw Data with Median Prices:

Want to sell?

1. Be motivated.  Have a good reason.

2. Be prepared.  Have a good plan.

3. Be buyer focused.  Have a good price and good terms/condition.

When Will Things Turn Around In Perrysburg Real Estate Values?

December 9th, 2009 . by Jon Modene

I get asked this question all the time – at least seemingly to me!

By my agents.   By my clients.  By my corporate clients.  My buyers.   By vendors and suppliers that work with or for me.

Everyone wants to know.

I repeat:  The downward price trend in Perrysburg real estate will not change, in my opinion, until people are making more money and taking it home.

The State of Ohio and the Federal Government can goose demand for a quarter or a year, they can push loans onto people who should not buy, they can do all sorts of tax credits . . . but the market will always trump the politician.

Always.

Look at this chart.

It is breathtaking in its simplicity.

November Withholdings

We can talk all we want about jobs.  (Or “JOBS, JOBS, JOBS, JOBS” as our leaders put it)

We can call unemployed people “no longer seeking employment”.  We can tell part time employees that they are fully employed even as they march into Perrysburg Christians United for food to feed their families.   We can call part time seasonal workers fully hired back.

Not going to change the real estate market price trend in Perrysburg.

That chart above – it simply shows tax witholdings from working people and companies.

Zero Hedge Blog interprets it thus:

Even as the BLS and the administration are trying to cover up the real state of unemployment affairs using assorted semantic gimmicks of just what it means to be unemployed, and as companies provide adjusted EPS numbers, while actual earnings continue to collapse, the true barometer of spending, provided by the Financial Management Service, tax withholdings (net of refunds), continues to paint the truest picture of just what is really happening with both America’s consumer and the corporate world. And it ain’t pretty. On a rolling 12 month basis, individual tax withheld has dropped by nearly 8% YoY, from $1.42 trillion to $1.31 trillion, while company witholdings are down a whalloping 64%, from $274 billion to just under $100 billion! This is money that will never be used to pay down the skyrocketing US deficit, because both the US consumer and average US company are simply not collecting the required cash to line the Treasury’s pockets with the one traditional way to pad the deficit: taxes. Expect much, much, much more debt issuance in America’s short, medium and long-term future.

Wage payers- people with great full time jobs in Perrysburg are the ONLY way to get demand and prices improved.

Period.

Not wages paid to pizza delivery drivers or census takers or package wrappers for 30 days.

Wages paid to machinists and car assembly line workers and engineers and chemists.

Then Perrysburg will get better and your home will be worth more than it is today.

Thanks Toledo Blade . . . For the Press!

February 13th, 2009 . by Jon Modene

Our local paper was kind enough to interview me for a comment on their story about the recent NAR housing price numbers - which show that Toledo is now a very, very affordable town to buy a home in.

One number that I shared with them was the huge price drop in one zip code in Toledo.  A 75% price drop in January 2009 vs. 2007.

How can that be?

75%???

The answer is that over 50% of the sales in the City of Toledo in January were distressed sales.

So these numbers – these horrible numbers are skewed.

Because of WHO is selling and WHY they are selling.

After all, it’s not “regular owners” who are selling.

It’s the banks that they now own!

Median prices of homes in Toledo – which depending on how you measure them – can actually NOT indicate their current value.    These numbers represent the average disposal prices that it takes to clear them in this market in view of their status as assets that need to be disposed of by financial owners.

A better measure of value is the Case-Shiller index of RESOLD HOUSES.

More on that later . . .

Sellers need not despair.  Not now.

Thanks? You Ought To Be Thankful To Live In Perrysburg.

December 17th, 2008 . by Jon Modene

Now, I am not one to dwell on the negative.  I have been accused of being permanently cheerful.   To that I plead guilty – for I am my father’s son.

However, I will always try to tell it like it is.

Always.

And some wonder if the publishing of detailed Perrysburg real estate stats and trends is a good thing to do.  We must remain “positive” after all . . . .

It is a good thing to do.   Do you want to be surprised?!?!

No.

But you OUGHT to be thankful.

Our little price retrenching is NOTHING compared to what is happening in other markets.

You may argue that the huge price drops in Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and California are not harmful at all – not if you bought your house in 1990.

Well, alot of people bought in 2007 and 2006.

What is their market like?  Observe these median price drops for just 1 year in So. Cal. -

Makes our -18% look very, very good.

Perrysburg – it never went up that high.  It won’t crash down that low.

Something to be thankful for today.