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Perrysburg Blog

The Farewell Kiss . . . To the Lender

April 8th, 2011 . by Jon Modene

Picture the scene:

A great 3000++ sq. foot brick 2 story.

A great location hard by Ft. Meigs, River Road, the Maumee, the Y, and the great Rivercrest Subdivision.

And . . . the foreclosed seller decides to “send a message” to the bank.

So he removes all the light fixtures.

And he removes and discards all the cabinet doors.   In every room.

And the doors.

He even takes the toilet seats.

THE TOILET SEATS!

So . . . . the bank gets the message.

The $350,000 two story brick home with a finished basement, sideload 3 car garage, deck, and more . . . . has become a $212,500 house.

And if you think about it, the next owner is going to be able to do the work, make the repairs, put some sweat-equity into his new home . . . and laugh all the way to the bank.

So the story will at least have a happy ending.

You want to get inside 1400 Rivercrest – call or email me today!

Numbers.

March 29th, 2011 . by Jon Modene

I have been doing A LOT of appraisals this week.

And that is good.  (We also are negotiating a HUGE number of offers – so I know that Spring has Sprung)

And the numbers are not good for sellers.

Sorry if this makes you sad.  But like all free markets, for every sad seller there is a glad buyer.  The January 2011 Case-Shiller numbers have been published this week.  They point to a very pronounced “double dip” in the housing market.

Perrysburg (and Sylvania, and Ottawa Hills, and Monclova/Maumee) has not been wiped out like many parts of other local towns have been value wise. (How bad?  I just had to tell an out of town owner that his house was worth -$10,000 today.  Think about that . . . !)

Remember my thesis – right now the numbers in Toledo are paralleling those in Detroit.

First the big, national Case-Shiller chart:

There is your double dip.

None of us are going to enjoy this ride.

Next the numbers.  Note the Detroit data.  Metro Toledo numbers feel about like that to me . . . about -8% for the year.   Remember your mileage may very based on your exact location, condition, floor plan, etc.

 

 

 

 

 

I will show you one more chart – just because I am into bad news today.

New construction?

Here’s your new construction!   It has hit the absolute bottom.  Amazing.

Something to think about . . .

February 4th, 2011 . by Jon Modene

What was the REAL effect of the following:

HAMP/the foreclosure moratorium/the robo signer moratorium/”Making Home Affordable”/and HopeNow?

(these were all roadblocks to market clearing foreclosure activity or government sponsored mortgage crisis programs for homeowners in distress)

The considered net effect?

Some economists are saying it was ZERO.   It just pushed foreclosures ahead to the future.

Like this guy . . .

“It is pretty clear, however, that overall foreclosure moratoria, foreclosure delays, modifications, and other workout activity continued to keep the number of homeowners who “lost” their homes to foreclosure massively lower than one would have expected given the delinquency/in foreclosure numbers.” (Quote from economist Tom Lawler in Calculated Risk blog.)

Here is my take “from the street”.  From Main Street USA.

I just met a guy today.

Foreclosed.

I was helping him move out and securing the asset for my client.

The city/house/street do not matter – because this is happening all over Northwest Ohio.

What did he tell me?

What is the street effect of this crisis?

He has lived in the house for 4 years without making one single mortgage payment.

And with no property taxes paid by him either . . . . that equals a lot of money.

In fact it is “worth” over $50,000.

$50,000 of imputed savings/benefits/gain that he has accrued to him.

While he was being foreclosed.

I am not an economist.

But this is being repeated all over the country.  The effect is real.  The bills are going to come due.   The merry go round will stop.

“3 or 4 times MORE foreclosures”???

Hard to think about that . . .

Perrysburg Short Sale Myths #4 – “The Guy Guaranteed He Would Help Me!”

January 28th, 2011 . by Jon Modene

Guaranteed.

It’s a strong word.

“It shall be done”.

“Do this”.

Or how about “promise”.

Also a strong word.

In the world of short sales . . . . I don’t think you can either or honestly issue many guarantees or promises or commands – not unless you are the mortgage holder.

They hold the note.

They loaned the money.

They have the gold and they make the rules.

The signs that proclaim “I Buy Houses!” are usually come ons for a bait and switch exercise to list your house or even worse get you to fraudulently convey control of it.

The Federal government has an opinion about this too.

You can read about it here.

I will boil it down for you:  no promises allowed.  No guarantees allowed.  No getting paid up front.

Any Realtor or “real estate investor” who approaches you and wants some money up front to help you with your short sale or foreclosure?  They are breaking FEDERAL LAW.

Any Realtor or “real estate investor” who comes and promises results, or claims some inside track with the lender or the government . . . again, breaking FEDERAL LAW.

The FTC says that paying $$$ up front is totally forbidden -

“The most significant consumer protection under the FTC’s new rule is the advance fee ban. Under this provision, mortgage relief companies may not collect any fees until they have provided consumers with a written offer from their lender or servicer that the consumer decides is acceptable, and a written document from the lender or servicer describing the key changes to the mortgage that would result if the consumer accepts the offer. The companies also must remind consumers of their right to reject the offer without any charge.”

I have not yet seen anyone doing this in Perrysburg.  I have seen this happen in Toledo and Sylvania . . . . with terrible results for those scammed.

Nothing in a short sale is guaranteed – except that it will be hard and difficult, filled with surprises, and the end result holds the potential to get you out of terrible trouble.

Why Pay Your Mortgage?

November 29th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

It is a question more and more people are asking.

And it’s a dangerous question.

The mountain looks peaceful.  It is large and contained.   It is immense but has always been that way.  What could go wrong?

The denizens surrounding Krakatoa thought that way too at one time.

Until their lives were forever changed in 1883.

Same with our mortgage system today in 2010/2011.

If no one pays . . . then there is going to be economic and financial chaos.   Just about every bank will go bust.  Credit will be a distant memory.  Your 401k might be vaporized.

So, if you are following the news and watching what is happening in different Perrysburg subdivisions – it is a valid question.

Many people are choosing to NOT pay when they can.

And many people are unable to pay when they really want to.

Nationwide it is now taking over 490 days, on average, for the bank to get control of the “asset” after the borrower stops paying.

You can do the math just as well as I can – that’s a lot of “free” rent.  A lot of money to be saved.  A lot of perverse incentive.

490+ days.

Some people who are upside down in their homes are figuring this out – the ability to simply not pay any payment and live free for a year or two.

I can’t get into the morality or rightness or wrongness of each individual case and or foreclosure or short sale.  They are all – trust me – very unique.

But it seems to me that banks need to remove the incentive to live free that many are now using as a tactical financial tool.

If it spreads the results will be “unexpected” as they say.

A Thanksgiving Real Estate Story

November 24th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

All over Perrysburg families are in trouble.

They are hurting.

Jobs have ended.  Companies have shut down.  Income has been cut.

It hits home when the mortgage can no longer be paid.

What do you do?  Tell your wife?  Tell the kids?  Tell your friends?

What kind of help can you get today?

There are many answers – different with each family, house, and situation.

Here is a true story, written about a woman from Maine and her house.

If you are blessed to enjoy your home in peace and safety this Thanksgiving  . . . be thankful.

If not – get good help.

Two Cords of Wood – An Intimate Look at Unnecessary Foreclosure

By Thomas Cox, a retired bank lawyer in Portland, Maine who serves as the Volunteer Program Coordinator for the Maine Attorney’s Saving Homes (MASH) program.

“Back in September, I was asked to give some unusual advice to a client. This woman, a resident of rural Northwestern Maine, wanted to know if she should buy the two cords of wood that she needed to heat her $48,000 home for the winter. I had previously told her that my bag of legal tricks was empty, and that I could not stop KeyBank from completing a foreclosure of its $28,000 second mortgage on her home. She was having trouble accepting the fact that it would really evict her, since she owed $50,000 on her first mortgage to a local bank, a loan on which she was current in her payments, which meant that KeyBank could recover nothing by foreclosing on its second mortgage. She told me again how, even though she had lost her job in the local paper mill, she had found other, but much lower, employment income and that she was able and willing to make reduced payments on the second mortgage. But KeyBank refused to accept reduced payments.

I had to tell my client that she should not buy the firewood, as I knew that it was planning an eviction within days. I had managed to penetrate the executive offices in Cleveland, Ohio, telling the “Executive Client Relations” person in the “Office of the President” how foolish it was to evict this woman, who had reduced income but a real willingness to devote as much of that as she could to continued second mortgage payments. The letter that I received in response told me how much KeyBank “valued” this woman as a client, how it “is committed to providing her with excellent service,” and how it regrets “any inconvenience or frustration your client may have experienced.” The letter closed by telling me, “[W]e appreciate the opportunity to respond to your concerns with quality and integrity.” That letter also told me that it was not willing to do anything at all to restructure this woman’s loan or to stop the eviction process.

After spending over $4,000 on foreclosure costs and legal fees, it purchased my client’s interest in the property at its foreclosure sale (there were no other bidders for this worthless second interest) and it did evict this woman from her home at the beginning of October. She is now living in the basement of her daughter’s house. Since the interest in this home that it purchased was still subject to the outstanding first mortgage, it then paid $50,000 to the first mortgage holder so that it could own full title to the property as it made plans to re-sell it. Thus, at this point it had over $54,000 invested in gaining full title to this property. Last week, KeyBank listed this property for sale for $44,000. It will surely net no more than $40,000, if it can sell it at all. This will leave the bank with a real cash loss of over $14,000, a woman living in her daughter’s basement who was willing to pay at least some level on her second mortgage, her community with an empty and devalued property in its midst, and a very sour taste for all of us who try to help these people.

Looking only at this loan and the personal situation of its borrower, KeyBank’s actions make no sense at all. However, along with all of the other major lenders and loan servicers in this foreclosure crisis, it does not look at these loans from a personal perspective. Everything is driven by “the numbers.” Those numbers tell financial institutions like KeyBank that it makes economic sense to avoid the costs of evaluating these loans on an individual basis. The numbers tell them not spend the money to pay employees to make individual decisions on whether a situation such as the one described here makes sense or whether ways can be found to work with the homeowner. KeyBank and the other large financial institutions and loan servicers do not care if they needlessly ruin the lives of some of their customers, as long as they can minimize the expense of dealing with their individual situations. The only “quality and integrity” that these institutions care about is the quality and integrity of their bottom lines.

I used to represent KeyBank back in my bank lawyer days. It grew out of purchases of two venerable old-line Maine banks with roots going back into the mid-1800s. Even as late as the 1990s, when I was representing KeyBank of Maine, it was still a “local bank.” There were bank officers assigned to dealing with loans such as this one who would make real human decisions on appropriate courses of action. Since these banks have gone national, they no longer care about how they hurt their individual customers, and they no longer care about the communities where those customers live. They are entirely willing to sacrifice a certain (and substantial) percentage of those customers on the altar of corporate profits. They can get away with this because they can lend money more cheaply then our local banks can — Federal monetary policies allow them to borrow money at a cheaper rate. Is this what we want from our Federal government?

Sadly, my advice to my client was correct. It was good that she did not waste her limited resources on the two cords of wood, as she no longer has a house to heat for the winter.”

More details here.

The Growing Shadow . . . In Perrysburg Real Estate

November 22nd, 2010 . by Jon Modene

Where are the “good houses”?  So asked a buyer/investor that I just got off the phone with.

“I can’t find them right now” he told me.

They are hidden.

In the shadows.

Today’s news from Core Logic confirms it:

The “shadow inventory” of unlisted bank-owned homes and potential foreclosures increased to 2.1 million units in August, up 10% from one year earlier, according to new estimates from CoreLogic, a real-estate research firm.

That’s around eight months of supply, compared to a five-months’ supply one year ago.

Banks and asset managers are holding them.   Like trump cards they don’t want to play right now.

The reasons are varied, good, and at the same time unimportant.

They are “their” cards.  And if they don’t want to play them right now it’s their call.

8 months of future sales . . . sitting there like a deep and dark shadow.

It’s getting larger.

(I have argued in the past that the Detroit Metro and Toledo Metro markets have been in sync for several years as to inventory and price trends . . . Core Logic estimates that the Detroit market has a 21 month supply of shadow inventory!!!  That is an amazing number – but we could be worse off if we live in Miami which has a 33.5 month supply.)

And it’s going to cause market disrupting and market cascading effects when it unwinds.

Caveat Emptor!

Selling Your Home Short

November 16th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

The collapse of the Toledo Real Estate Market, caused by the collapse of the economy and our manufacturing base, has left a lot of home owners upside down – owing more than their home is worth in today’s dollars.  And this is known as a short sale.

Short sales are complicated transactions.  They are not for the feint of heart.

Who Actually Makes the Decision to Approve a Short Sale.

2 people.

You, the seller.

And your lender or lenders.  You both have to cooperate or nothing but a foreclosure train wreck will result.  You will not be allowed to take any money away from the closing so you really don’t have an economic reason to care about the price your home sells for.   But . . . the bank cares.  It’s now their money at stake.  And while they care there is neither rhyme nor reason as to why one deal is accepted, approved, and closed and another one is not.

Why Would I Short Sale My Home?

There are advantages – if done properly.   You can stop the bleeding.   You can be “forgiven” from owing any more.   You can avoid collection acts and lawsuits that lead to a deficiency judgment.  Bottom line – you can get the bank to take the money that the house sells for and you can walk away.  You will not be able to finance another home with an FHA mortgage for 3 years . . . but that beats the 7+ year ding that a foreclosure action generates on your credit.

What Is the Best Way to Go About a Short Sale on my Perrysburg Home?

“Just call Jon” as I am want to say.   I have closed quite a few in Perrysburg and have special training to increase the odds of success.   A real estate agent with actual field and negotiating experience in short sales is, in my opinion, absolutely required if you want to succeed.  You will have to prove to the bank/investor/mortgage holder that you really did try to get top dollar for it.   You will need help proving your suitability for a short sale, and assembling the paperwork packet that will increase your odds of success.

That’s what I and my team do.

Why Do Most Short Sales Fail?

Time.  And communication issues.  And mistakes in contract process, buyer process, appraisal process, and with second lien holders.  These are tough, complicated transactions and if your Realtor is also working at multilevel marketing too or selling holiday hams at the mall it’s not an indicator of future success.  Hire the best for the toughest jobs.

What Sump Pumps Are For . . . .

November 12th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

They prevent this:

How sad is that in a newer, nicer home???

Speechless . . . . Is This Coming To Perrysburg????

October 14th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

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