There are a lot of them!

They come here to buy.

They come here because Perrysburg real estate is a very safe buy.

They come here because of the schools, the lifestyle, and obviously the employment.

And they buy a lot of real estate -  MSNBC.com reports that foreign buyers bought over $80 billion in US property in 2010.  That was up from $66 billion in 2009.

I have sold property in and around Perrysburg to buyers from the Ukraine, Poland, Russia, France, Great Brittan, China, Vietnam, Australia, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Egypt, Italy, and Canada (is Canada that foreign?).

What are foreign buyers looking for in Perrysburg?  The exact same thing that any buyer is -  a good deal, a great floor plan, a nice lot, and no surprises.

When many foreign buyers look at our prices and values I believe that they inwardly, secretly chuckle at how cheap our prices are and how large our lots are.

The best thing to do is look at a map – maps are my favorite tool!

Here’s one view of the flow of “Euro Buyers” into the US, courtesy of Trulia.com

One thing to think about – the three largest home sales EVER in America were all to . . .  foreign buyers.  This is one, in California.  It sold for $100,000,000.  To a Russian.

I talked to a friend of mine who knows the Russian speaking Realtor who wrote the contract for Yuri Milner, the Google/Hedge Fund type investor.  I think that he was sad – he will never, ever in all of his career close on a deal that large again.  Must be sad to realize that!

If you are a landlord in Perrysburg in 2011 you have much to be thankful for.

Your property is most likely rented.

Your tenants are on “good behavior mode” as they know that if they have to look for another 43551 rental house or condo it will not go well.

Your bank account is probably in better shape with rent receipts than if you had to sell and mark your asset to market on the bank/REO depressed current market.

And there are no hassles in Perrysburg from the local constabulary . . . unlike a rather large and more regulatory rapacious city just to the north that I will not mention.

There are – at least according to my Mark 1 Eyeball – fewer for rent signs up in Perrysburg now than in recent memory.   Only 1 of my managed properties and 0 of my own properties has a vacancy.

The WSJ has a nice piece on the situation here.

Implications?

If you are fully invested in the stock market . . . . you must be addicted to risk.   Diversify into some nice multifamily in Perrysburg or Sylvania.

If you are fully rented out . . . now is the time to raise your rents.

If you are looking to get out of the rental market . . . not a bad time to sell your multifamily property in Perrysburg (since values are based on cash flow imho).

Because I just wrote an offer and got a home sale pending for the “child” of a client.

Yep.   Someone’s “little kid”.   Whose dad I sold a house for many, many moons ago.

Now buying a home with me and my team.  Taking out a mortgage.  Signing legal documents.

Great.

Which means:

1. Either I have been selling houses for over 20 years. Or,

2. There is a time warp and a dimensional shift has occurred since I don’t feel that old.

In any event it is always a compliment to be chosen to help a man/woman/family find and buy their new home.

It’s a compliment to have loyal, faithful clients – who often turn into friends.

But really – your kids are growing up way to fast!

For some . . . it’s a deal breaker.

What?

WHICH Perrysburg elementary school zone the house in question is in . . .

Frank/Toth/Woodland/Ft. Meigs are all excellent and each has its’ backers and boosters and diehards.   But buyers should beware that distract boundaries for elementary schools change.   Several years ago many homes that were “in” the Ft. Meigs district were “out” due to overcrowding.   I often do not put the elementary school name in the advertising or online content for a Perrysburg single family listing because it is not guaranteed.

But my team and I do use this little tool.

You can too.   It’s the current listing of addresses in the Perrysburg School District keyed to elementary schools.

Perrysburg School Road Code Book

Trivia Test:  I can tell how long you have live in Perrysburg if you know what Pine and Elm were . . .

Practice.

Preparation.

Organization.

Research.

All equal to success in lots of endeavors.   Like in baseball.   And in real estate.

Do it . . . and your ducks are in a row.

Fail?  You will whiff.  You will miss.  You will not win.

If you strike out in baseball . . . you get another at bat . . . usually.

In real estate?  You may lose the home you HAD to have.  The “perfect house”.

And, not surprisingly, real estate agent batting averages, proficiency, and skill set strength might seem to matter.

Especially in light of the new NAR report on recent sales.

If you peel away the data . . . you will find that the percentage of pending sales that blew up – busted out – failed to close . . . has DOUBLED.

That’s a HUGE increase.

I believe there are a couple of reasons:

1. More and more appraisal problems with pending sales.

2. More REO transactions which are very hard to get closed.

3. More part time / old timey real estate agents who don’t sell anymore and don’t swim in these treacherous waters anymore.

4. Short sales – the modern bane of buyers, sellers, and agents.

Add them all up . . . . and it’s a miracle MORE deals than the 18% reported are not blowing up!

(by the way – it was 9% of all pending deals blowing up just a year ago . . . )

What to do?

Get accurate market data.

Thinking about buying a short sale?  Open your eyes, get the facts, and get some help.

Only hire an experienced, competent, skilled agent.

The market is in flux.

The job market is abysmal.

The broad economy in Northwest Ohio – horrible.

The stock market -

And . . . 30 year fixed money for houses 3.99%.

FHA loans as low as 3.75%.

Amazing.   We are talking record low interest rates.  Breaking ALL modern records.

Why?  It seems that with the volatility in every other part of the economy, large investors still want to have money invested that makes money and getting mortgage backed securities that have a government approved stamp and pays 3.5% to 4.5% seems like the best bet.

But . . . that does not make it “a great time to buy a house” as the National Association of REALTORS chief economist can always be faithfully predicted to spout.   It’s only a great time to buy a house if it really is for you and your family.   How is your credit?  Your savings?  Your rainy day fund?  Your other debts gone/under control/closed out?  Your job?  Your current lease ending?   Get ALL of that right . . . . get the right house . . . and with these ridiculously low interest rates . . . it might make sense to buy in Perrysburg right now.

The mortgage went unpaid.

Everything started being delayed – repairs, etc.

The bank foreclosed.

The house went for sale.

I sold it.

A local family bought it  . . . because they cared about the street/neighborhood/city.

They have repaired and renovated it . . .

Here is the “before and after” shot . . .

Do you think that the neighbors are happy?

I admit it has been hard — for there are 2 markets in my world right now.

There is the Toledo Residential Market.   You know the one.  Lot’s of downward price pressure.   Some serious real estate problems that a lot of serious people are doing their best to fix.   That’s one market.

Then there is, at least in the scope of this blog, the Perrysburg market.   Fewer houses than normal on the market.   Less price pressure.   But still the buyers who are buying are not dumb.   They look over the Maumee River or back to whatever market they are moving here from . . . and they want a deal.   Even in little old Perrysburg.

They want the house to be in perfect condition.

With everything working perfectly.

And they want to move in right now.

Both markets are functioning but they are functioning differently.

Perrysburg buyers need to be very careful with the pricing strategy they are using and very sure of not only their financing options but also the ceiling they want to be at in any competitive bid situation (especially for REO houses in Pburg . . . ).

More and more loans are getting rejected.   Appraisals are a problem even in Perrysburg.   The old “throw ‘em an offer and see if it sticks / hood of the car pricing approach” does not work out very well in these times.

So – how do I read the market?

It’s really the same as it ever was!

The best homes in the best condition sell for the best price at the best timing possible.

If your house is on the market and no one is looking – it’s probably a pricing problem and not a marketing problem.

My guess is that the buyers are already aware of your house – they have just rejected it before getting inside of it.

Everyone is telling every buyer that “now is the time to buy!”.

Really?

It might be for me.

It might not be for you.

Each family has to make the correct decision.

This morning I talked with a transferring family . . . whose breadwinner works for a large local engineering concern that is undergoing some corporate governance turmoil . . . about their impending move.

Buy?

Lease?

Land Contract?

The old National Association of Realtors line would be “BUY NOW!”

“THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A BETTER TIME TO BUY!”

“GET THE TAX SAVINGS!”

My advice: rent.

Don’t buy.

Too much risk.

Don’t buy and assume it’s the best choice.

Don’t buy and assume you can always sell it for a profit.

Don’t buy and plan on being an absentee landlord if you are transferred or your employer goes under.

Think tactically.

Think long term.

Think about the worse case scenario.

Then act accordingly.

For many it will be to buy.

For many it will be to rent.

But seek after wisdom and understanding in residential real estate by asking some good hard questions before you jump into a purchase contract.

Resources:

100 Questions to Ask Before You Buy . . . Courtesy of HUD.

Special Report on Buying Today . . . Courtesy of me.   (See image below)

Some good, tough questions to ask any seller . . . Courtesy of a Realtor in CA.

Below: Totally from todays WSJ.com real estate section . . . . an EXCELLENT riff on the new issue of Time Magazine:

1. You can get a good deal. Especially if you play hardball. This is a buyer’s market. Most of the other buyers have now vanished, as the tax credits on purchases have just expired. We’re four to five years into the biggest housing bust in modern history. And prices have come down a long way– about 30% from their peak, according to Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Index, which tracks home prices in 20 big cities. Yes, it’s mixed. New York is only down 20%. Arizona has halved. Will prices fall further? Sure, they could. You’ll never catch the bottom. It doesn’t really matter so much in the long haul.

Where is fair value? Fund manager Jeremy Grantham at GMO, who predicted the bust with remarkable accuracy, said two years ago that home prices needed to fall another 17% to reach fair value in relation to household incomes. Case-Shiller since then: Down 18%.

2. Mortgages are cheap. You can get a 30-year loan for around 4.3%. What’s not to like? These are the lowest rates on record. As recently as two years ago they were about 6.3%. That drop slashes your monthly repayment by a fifth. If inflation picks up, you won’t see these mortgage rates again in your lifetime. And if we get deflation, and rates fall further, you can refi.

3. You’ll save on taxes. You can deduct the mortgage interest from your income taxes. You can deduct your real estate taxes. And you’ll get a tax break on capital gains–if any–when you sell. Sure, you’ll need to do your math. You’ll only get the income tax break if you itemize your deductions, and many people may be better off taking the standard deduction instead. The breaks are more valuable the more you earn, and the bigger your mortgage. But many people will find that these tax breaks mean owning costs them less, often a lot less, than renting.

The June 13, 2005 cover of Time.

4. It’ll be yours. You can have the kitchen and bathrooms you want. You can move the walls, build an extension–zoning permitted–or paint everything bright orange. Few landlords are so indulgent; for renters, these types of changes are often impossible. You’ll feel better about your own place if you own it than if you rent. Many years ago, when I was working for a political campaign in England, I toured a working-class northern town. Mrs. Thatcher had just begun selling off public housing to the tenants. “You can tell the ones that have been bought,” said my local guide. “They’ve painted the front door. It’s the first thing people do when they buy.” It was a small sign that said something big.

5. You’ll get a better home. In many parts of the country it can be really hard to find a good rental. All the best places are sold as condos. Money talks. Once again, this is a case by case issue: In Miami right now there are so many vacant luxury condos that owners will rent them out for a fraction of the cost of owning. But few places are so favored. Generally speaking, if you want the best home in the best neighborhood, you’re better off buying.

6. It offers some inflation protection. No, it’s not perfect. But studies by Professor Karl “Chip” Case (of Case-Shiller), and others, suggest that over the long-term housing has tended to beat inflation by a couple of percentage points a year. That’s valuable inflation insurance, especially if you’re young and raising a family and thinking about the next 30 or 40 years. In the recent past, inflation-protected government bonds, or TIPS, offered an easier form of inflation insurance. But yields there have plummeted of late. That also makes homeownership look a little better by contrast.

7. It’s risk capital. No, your home isn’t the stock market and you shouldn’t view it as the way to get rich. But if the economy does surprise us all and start booming, sooner or later real estate prices will head up again, too. One lesson from the last few years is that stocks are incredibly hard for most normal people to own in large quantities–for practical as well as psychological reasons. Equity in a home is another way of linking part of your portfolio to the long-term growth of the economy–if it happens–and still managing to sleep at night.

8. It’s forced savings. If you can rent an apartment for $2,000 month instead of buying one for $2,400 a month, renting may make sense. But will you save that $400 for your future? A lot of people won’t. Most, I dare say. Once again, you have to do your math, but the part of your mortgage payment that goes to principal repayment isn’t a cost. You’re just paying yourself by building equity. As a forced monthly saving, it’s a good discipline.

9. There is a lot to choose from. There is a glut of homes in most of the country. The National Association of Realtors puts the current inventory at around 4 million homes. That’s below last year’s peak, but well above typical levels, and enough for about a year’s worth of sales. More keeping coming onto the market, too, as the banks slowly unload their inventory of unsold properties. That means great choice, as well as great prices.

10. Sooner or later, the market will clear. Demand and supply will meet. The population is forecast to grow by more than 100 million people over the next 40 years. That means maybe 40 million new households looking for homes. Meanwhile, this housing glut will work itself out. Many of the homes will be bought. But many more will simply be destroyed–either deliberately, or by inaction. This is already happening. Even two years ago, when I is toured the housing slump in western Florida, I saw bankrupt condo developments that were fast becoming derelict. And, finally, a lot of the “glut” simply won’t matter: It’s concentrated in a few areas, like Florida and Nevada. Unless you live there, the glut won’t have any long-term impact on housing supply in your town.