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Perrysburg Blog

Why Pay Your Mortgage?

November 29th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

It is a question more and more people are asking.

And it’s a dangerous question.

The mountain looks peaceful.  It is large and contained.   It is immense but has always been that way.  What could go wrong?

The denizens surrounding Krakatoa thought that way too at one time.

Until their lives were forever changed in 1883.

Same with our mortgage system today in 2010/2011.

If no one pays . . . then there is going to be economic and financial chaos.   Just about every bank will go bust.  Credit will be a distant memory.  Your 401k might be vaporized.

So, if you are following the news and watching what is happening in different Perrysburg subdivisions – it is a valid question.

Many people are choosing to NOT pay when they can.

And many people are unable to pay when they really want to.

Nationwide it is now taking over 490 days, on average, for the bank to get control of the “asset” after the borrower stops paying.

You can do the math just as well as I can – that’s a lot of “free” rent.  A lot of money to be saved.  A lot of perverse incentive.

490+ days.

Some people who are upside down in their homes are figuring this out – the ability to simply not pay any payment and live free for a year or two.

I can’t get into the morality or rightness or wrongness of each individual case and or foreclosure or short sale.  They are all – trust me – very unique.

But it seems to me that banks need to remove the incentive to live free that many are now using as a tactical financial tool.

If it spreads the results will be “unexpected” as they say.

A Thanksgiving Real Estate Story

November 24th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

All over Perrysburg families are in trouble.

They are hurting.

Jobs have ended.  Companies have shut down.  Income has been cut.

It hits home when the mortgage can no longer be paid.

What do you do?  Tell your wife?  Tell the kids?  Tell your friends?

What kind of help can you get today?

There are many answers – different with each family, house, and situation.

Here is a true story, written about a woman from Maine and her house.

If you are blessed to enjoy your home in peace and safety this Thanksgiving  . . . be thankful.

If not – get good help.

Two Cords of Wood – An Intimate Look at Unnecessary Foreclosure

By Thomas Cox, a retired bank lawyer in Portland, Maine who serves as the Volunteer Program Coordinator for the Maine Attorney’s Saving Homes (MASH) program.

“Back in September, I was asked to give some unusual advice to a client. This woman, a resident of rural Northwestern Maine, wanted to know if she should buy the two cords of wood that she needed to heat her $48,000 home for the winter. I had previously told her that my bag of legal tricks was empty, and that I could not stop KeyBank from completing a foreclosure of its $28,000 second mortgage on her home. She was having trouble accepting the fact that it would really evict her, since she owed $50,000 on her first mortgage to a local bank, a loan on which she was current in her payments, which meant that KeyBank could recover nothing by foreclosing on its second mortgage. She told me again how, even though she had lost her job in the local paper mill, she had found other, but much lower, employment income and that she was able and willing to make reduced payments on the second mortgage. But KeyBank refused to accept reduced payments.

I had to tell my client that she should not buy the firewood, as I knew that it was planning an eviction within days. I had managed to penetrate the executive offices in Cleveland, Ohio, telling the “Executive Client Relations” person in the “Office of the President” how foolish it was to evict this woman, who had reduced income but a real willingness to devote as much of that as she could to continued second mortgage payments. The letter that I received in response told me how much KeyBank “valued” this woman as a client, how it “is committed to providing her with excellent service,” and how it regrets “any inconvenience or frustration your client may have experienced.” The letter closed by telling me, “[W]e appreciate the opportunity to respond to your concerns with quality and integrity.” That letter also told me that it was not willing to do anything at all to restructure this woman’s loan or to stop the eviction process.

After spending over $4,000 on foreclosure costs and legal fees, it purchased my client’s interest in the property at its foreclosure sale (there were no other bidders for this worthless second interest) and it did evict this woman from her home at the beginning of October. She is now living in the basement of her daughter’s house. Since the interest in this home that it purchased was still subject to the outstanding first mortgage, it then paid $50,000 to the first mortgage holder so that it could own full title to the property as it made plans to re-sell it. Thus, at this point it had over $54,000 invested in gaining full title to this property. Last week, KeyBank listed this property for sale for $44,000. It will surely net no more than $40,000, if it can sell it at all. This will leave the bank with a real cash loss of over $14,000, a woman living in her daughter’s basement who was willing to pay at least some level on her second mortgage, her community with an empty and devalued property in its midst, and a very sour taste for all of us who try to help these people.

Looking only at this loan and the personal situation of its borrower, KeyBank’s actions make no sense at all. However, along with all of the other major lenders and loan servicers in this foreclosure crisis, it does not look at these loans from a personal perspective. Everything is driven by “the numbers.” Those numbers tell financial institutions like KeyBank that it makes economic sense to avoid the costs of evaluating these loans on an individual basis. The numbers tell them not spend the money to pay employees to make individual decisions on whether a situation such as the one described here makes sense or whether ways can be found to work with the homeowner. KeyBank and the other large financial institutions and loan servicers do not care if they needlessly ruin the lives of some of their customers, as long as they can minimize the expense of dealing with their individual situations. The only “quality and integrity” that these institutions care about is the quality and integrity of their bottom lines.

I used to represent KeyBank back in my bank lawyer days. It grew out of purchases of two venerable old-line Maine banks with roots going back into the mid-1800s. Even as late as the 1990s, when I was representing KeyBank of Maine, it was still a “local bank.” There were bank officers assigned to dealing with loans such as this one who would make real human decisions on appropriate courses of action. Since these banks have gone national, they no longer care about how they hurt their individual customers, and they no longer care about the communities where those customers live. They are entirely willing to sacrifice a certain (and substantial) percentage of those customers on the altar of corporate profits. They can get away with this because they can lend money more cheaply then our local banks can — Federal monetary policies allow them to borrow money at a cheaper rate. Is this what we want from our Federal government?

Sadly, my advice to my client was correct. It was good that she did not waste her limited resources on the two cords of wood, as she no longer has a house to heat for the winter.”

More details here.

The Growing Shadow . . . In Perrysburg Real Estate

November 22nd, 2010 . by Jon Modene

Where are the “good houses”?  So asked a buyer/investor that I just got off the phone with.

“I can’t find them right now” he told me.

They are hidden.

In the shadows.

Today’s news from Core Logic confirms it:

The “shadow inventory” of unlisted bank-owned homes and potential foreclosures increased to 2.1 million units in August, up 10% from one year earlier, according to new estimates from CoreLogic, a real-estate research firm.

That’s around eight months of supply, compared to a five-months’ supply one year ago.

Banks and asset managers are holding them.   Like trump cards they don’t want to play right now.

The reasons are varied, good, and at the same time unimportant.

They are “their” cards.  And if they don’t want to play them right now it’s their call.

8 months of future sales . . . sitting there like a deep and dark shadow.

It’s getting larger.

(I have argued in the past that the Detroit Metro and Toledo Metro markets have been in sync for several years as to inventory and price trends . . . Core Logic estimates that the Detroit market has a 21 month supply of shadow inventory!!!  That is an amazing number – but we could be worse off if we live in Miami which has a 33.5 month supply.)

And it’s going to cause market disrupting and market cascading effects when it unwinds.

Caveat Emptor!

Video Tour: New Perrysburg Listing

November 19th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

On Mulberry.

I REALLY like this one.

There is something about quality, design flair, and the history of this home that just says “Perrysburg” to me.

Shameless Perrysburg New Listing Plug . . .

November 17th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

Which is what I do when I list a REALLY SHARP house in Pburg.

14581 Monarch Ct.

Hull Prairie Meadows subdivision.

3 car garage.

Mother in law suit on 1st floor.

Upstairs laundry center.

First floor den.

3000+ sq.

Under $300k.

This house will FLY off the market . . . . so call me or email me to see it for yourself.

Selling Your Home Short

November 16th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

The collapse of the Toledo Real Estate Market, caused by the collapse of the economy and our manufacturing base, has left a lot of home owners upside down – owing more than their home is worth in today’s dollars.  And this is known as a short sale.

Short sales are complicated transactions.  They are not for the feint of heart.

Who Actually Makes the Decision to Approve a Short Sale.

2 people.

You, the seller.

And your lender or lenders.  You both have to cooperate or nothing but a foreclosure train wreck will result.  You will not be allowed to take any money away from the closing so you really don’t have an economic reason to care about the price your home sells for.   But . . . the bank cares.  It’s now their money at stake.  And while they care there is neither rhyme nor reason as to why one deal is accepted, approved, and closed and another one is not.

Why Would I Short Sale My Home?

There are advantages – if done properly.   You can stop the bleeding.   You can be “forgiven” from owing any more.   You can avoid collection acts and lawsuits that lead to a deficiency judgment.  Bottom line – you can get the bank to take the money that the house sells for and you can walk away.  You will not be able to finance another home with an FHA mortgage for 3 years . . . but that beats the 7+ year ding that a foreclosure action generates on your credit.

What Is the Best Way to Go About a Short Sale on my Perrysburg Home?

“Just call Jon” as I am want to say.   I have closed quite a few in Perrysburg and have special training to increase the odds of success.   A real estate agent with actual field and negotiating experience in short sales is, in my opinion, absolutely required if you want to succeed.  You will have to prove to the bank/investor/mortgage holder that you really did try to get top dollar for it.   You will need help proving your suitability for a short sale, and assembling the paperwork packet that will increase your odds of success.

That’s what I and my team do.

Why Do Most Short Sales Fail?

Time.  And communication issues.  And mistakes in contract process, buyer process, appraisal process, and with second lien holders.  These are tough, complicated transactions and if your Realtor is also working at multilevel marketing too or selling holiday hams at the mall it’s not an indicator of future success.  Hire the best for the toughest jobs.

What Sump Pumps Are For . . . .

November 12th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

They prevent this:

How sad is that in a newer, nicer home???

I Was So Wrong . . .

November 10th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

A year or two ago . . . me – totally wrong.

Because I believed that the current real estate/mortgage/financial system crisis would wind down and end in a year or two.

But the old crisis has just morphed and grown.

To the new robo-signing/QE2/inflation/invisisble reo inventory crisis.

And it shows no signs of stopping or slowing down.  (Proof?  Here is my client action plan for today . . . 2 new short sale clients to list, 2 new REO’s to list, 1 “normal” Perrysburg house to list, and one huge 4 plex to order demolished in Toledo.  Normal is a long way away . . . )

So, I stopped guessing.

And began planning.

For a 4 to 5 year slow burn.

A continued slow burn in the real estate market.

My plan: reposition my team and my company.  Focus on new marketing tools and methods for 2010 and 2011.  Be the expert in pricing and marketing in Perrysburg.

It’s working so far – more sales, closings, listings, and closed volume than any year in my 22 year real estate career.

What about you?   If you are a Perrysburg real estate owner . . . and I am right about the length of the current crisis . . . you may need a plan.   A NEW plan.

In the recent election Ohio seemed to make some plans – hiring a notorious cost and budget cutter to be the new CEO of Ohio.

How about Perrysburg?  Maybe our city and school needs an updated plan (no more spending increases for a couple of years sound like a plan?).   IMO Perrysburg has to focus on the key differentiators that make it the preferred choice to people moving or relocating (and thus staying) here:  1. Quality of Life   2. Excellence of Education   3. Safety and Security

If we can do that we can weather whatever economic real estate storms are on the horizon.

Don’t Buy. Ask “WHY?”

November 8th, 2010 . by Jon Modene

Just a thought.

Everyone is telling every buyer that “now is the time to buy!”.

Really?

It might be for me.

It might not be for you.

Each family has to make the correct decision.

This morning I talked with a transferring family . . . whose breadwinner works for a large local engineering concern that is undergoing some corporate governance turmoil . . . about their impending move.

Buy?

Lease?

Land Contract?

The old National Association of Realtors line would be “BUY NOW!”

“THERE HAS NEVER BEEN A BETTER TIME TO BUY!”

“GET THE TAX SAVINGS!”

My advice: rent.

Don’t buy.

Too much risk.

Don’t buy and assume it’s the best choice.

Don’t buy and assume you can always sell it for a profit.

Don’t buy and plan on being an absentee landlord if you are transferred or your employer goes under.

Think tactically.

Think long term.

Think about the worse case scenario.

Then act accordingly.

For many it will be to buy.

For many it will be to rent.

But seek after wisdom and understanding in residential real estate by asking some good hard questions before you jump into a purchase contract.

Resources:

100 Questions to Ask Before You Buy . . . Courtesy of HUD.

Special Report on Buying Today . . . Courtesy of me.   (See image below)

Some good, tough questions to ask any seller . . . Courtesy of a Realtor in CA.

Good News For Perrysburg Home Owners . . .

November 3rd, 2010 . by Jon Modene

What?

How?

Why?

The Fed is going to inflate our currency.

The headline:

Fed poised for biggest decision in decades

Some call this debasing.  Some call it foolish.  Some call it criminal.

It should have the effect of raising fixed asset values as inflation ramps up.

“Should”.

We will see.   You may want to go out and borrow with today’s more valuable dollars.  Because you will be able to pay back your debt with tomorrows inflated dollars.

Gory, inflationary details HERE.

Those that refuse to read and understand history are apparently condemned to repeat it.  Or so I have heard . . .

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